A calibrated game and player-prop prediction engine — simulation-based probabilities and market-edge detection. Built and running privately; not yet open to the public.
Not a hot-takes picks account. It simulates each game thousands of times to produce true probabilities, then compares them to the market to find where the line may be off.
Each game is simulated thousands of times to produce real probabilities, tuned so a "65%" actually hits about 65% of the time.
Built on a deep feature set spanning team, situational, and efficiency signals — not just last week's box score.
The same calibrated approach applied to player-level projections, where the soft lines tend to live.
Model probabilities are compared against live odds to surface where the market may be mispriced.
It's in private testing while the season's calibration record builds. Tell me how you'd use it and I'll add you to the early-access list.
For analytics and entertainment. Navi Works builds software and research tools — this is not betting advice, and predictions are probabilistic, not guarantees. Know your local laws and gamble responsibly.